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CBO Releases Long Term Budget Outlook

In its annual long term budget outlook released June 5, CBO projects that by the end of 2012, federal debt held by the public will exceed 70 percent of GDP, a dramatic increase from the end of 2008 when federal debt equaled 40 percent of the nation’s annual economic output. CBO attributes the sharp rise in debt partly to lower tax revenues and higher federal spending caused by the severe economic downturn and from policies enacted during the past few years, but notes “the growing debt also reflects an imbalance between spending and revenues that predated the recession.”

Read more about the report on the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) web site.

Labor-HHS-Education Appropriations

House appropriators say the traditionally controversial Labor-HHS-Education appropriations measure could move forward in committee in June. Labor-HHS-Education Subcommittee Chairman Denny Rehberg (R-MT) said Thursday that he would like to unveil his measure when the House returns from its recess the week of June 18th. Last year, the measure was not marked up by the House committee and was eventually rolled into a year-end omnibus measure. So far this year, House appropriators have moved 10 measures, leaving only the Labor-HHS-Education and Interior-Environment spending bills to be released.

The Senate has scheduled the mark up of their Labor-HHS-Education bill for June 12th.

Source:  CQRollCall.com

Today in Congress

The Senate’s in at 9:30am and is expected to hold a key procedural vote on the farm bill at 10:30am. The House is in at 10:00am with first votes expected between 1:30—2:30pm and last votes expected between 10:00—11:00pm. The House is set to repeal parts of the health care act, including the medical device tax. It will also continue consideration of the Homeland Security appropriations bill, and vote on a motion to instruct conferees on the highway bill. The House Transportation-HUD Appropriations Subcommittee marks up its FY2013 spending bill.

This Week in Congress

The House starts its workweek considering several measures under suspension of the rules, including — coinciding with National Police Week — the National Blue Alert Act, which aims to help reduce the threat of violence against law enforcement officers.

Later in the week, the House takes up a bill that would reauthorize the Violence Against Women Act (VAWA). The chamber also considers the FY2013 defense authorization.

The Senate resumes consideration of a House reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank. The measure stalled last week in a dispute about offering amendments.

Appropriators in both chambers continue work on FY2013 spending bills. The House Appropriations Committee marks up Homeland Security and Military Construction-VA draft spending bills.

This Week in Congress

Congress returns to work today after a week-long recess period.   The Senate convenes at 2:00pm and continues debate of the student loan interest rate bill.  The House is also in at 2:00pmwith votes expected around 6:30pm. 

This afternoon, the House Budget Committee will mark up two bills:  The Sequester Replacement Act of 2012 (HR 4966) and The Sequester Replacement Reconciliation Act of 2012.  Both measures aim to replace sequestration, the mandatory cuts scheduled to begin in January 2013.  The first bill would stop sequestration from happening, while the second would outline a series of cuts to entitlement programs such as health care and food stamps that would replace the cuts to discretionary spending expected through sequestration.  The full House is due to pass the package late in the week likely along partisan lines.  However, the safe bet is Congress won’t reach agreement on how to deal with spending priorities until after the elections. 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday the Senate is scheduled to debate a bill to keep interest rates on federally subsidized student loans at 3.4 percent for one more year, instead of increasing to the previous amount of 6.8 percent.  The House passed a similar bill a week ago, but the two chambers differ on how to pay for the extension.  In a sign of their desire to downplay the partisan tensions, Senate Republicans are expected to help Democrats reach the 60 votes needed to overcome a procedural hurdle to bringing the measure to the floor.  

Tuesday also marks the formal launch of a House-Senate conference to write a surface transportation reauthorization bill.  If conferees can’t come to an agreement on the bill before the November election, then chances are good the bill just won’t get done this year.  And that will mean starting over from scratch early in 2013.  The biggest hurdles include the length of reauthorization, policy riders approving the Keystone XL pipeline and blocking EPA’s authority to regulate coal ash, and how best to pay for the cost of highway and transit programs around the country.  This bill reauthorizes the University Transportation Centers; the UW operates one of these centers for USDOT Region 10.

Also this week, the full House is scheduled to debate the FY 2013 Commerce-Justice-Science spending bill, which includes funding for NOAA and the Office of Science and Technology Policy.  House Rules Committee meets at 5:00pm today to write the spending bill’s rule, and it will hit the floor sometime later in the week.  This will be the first FY 2013 appropriations bill to be approved in the House, but differences over spending levels make it likely that both chambers won’t agree on most or even all of its spending bills until after the elections.  But by sending the measures through committee and to the floor in each chamber, leaders are at least offering a starting place for those year-end negotiations.  Congress has missed the statutory September 30th appropriations deadline for more than a decade, instead relying on continuing resolutions to keep the government from shutting down until the final bills are cleared and signed by the President.