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Budgets and Debt

The Senate Budget Committee may mark up an FY12 budget resolution this week, while Democratic and Republican negotiators begin the serious work of trying to reach agreement on a debt reduction plan to accompany an increase in the debt limit.

Senate Budget Resolution: The Senate Budget Committee may mark up an FY12 budget resolution later in the week. If a markup is scheduled for later this week, committee rules require that 48 hours notice be provided so a decision must be made soon for this to happen. Senate Republicans have been eager to see Democrats unveil their budget after House Republicans adopted their budget blueprint in mid-April. Despite the harsh criticism the House GOP budget has received — particularly with regard to its proposal to fundamentally restructure Medicare for individuals who retire starting in 2022 — Republicans point out that it would put the nation back on a fiscally sustainable path, cutting deficits by $4.4 trillion compared with the FY12 budget that the President submitted in February. Democrats may proposed a resolution that includes some of the recommendations of the President’s fiscal commission, which would cut deficits by $4 trillion over 10 years through a combination of spending cuts and increases in revenues via an overhaul of the tax code. In sharp contrast to the House GOP budget, it would not restructure Medicare but would include small savings from the program, in addition to preventing scheduled cuts to Medicare physician reimbursement rates for a number of years. 

The Senate Majority Leader has given no further indication of when he may try to force a vote on the House Republican budget resolution. Reid early last week reiterated his intention to do so, which would put Senate Republicans on record regarding the House GOP’s proposal to restructure Medicare. But with House Republicans seemingly backing off from their Medicare proposal as part of the White House-led debt reduction talks, forcing a Senate vote on the House budget could unnecessarily complicate efforts to reach a bipartisan agreement.  

Debt Negotiations Continue: After last week’s initial meeting in which participants agreed on the need to address the nation’s fiscal problems and outlined their positions, the White House-led deficit reduction talks will begin the difficult process of hammering out an agreement. Negotiators on Tuesday are expected to focus on areas where both sides agree that spending can be cut, possibly through cuts to mandatory spending outside of the major entitlements. The bipartisan talks are seeking agreement on a debt reduction package to move in conjunction with legislation to increase the nation’s $14.3 trillion debt ceiling. Some Republicans have suggested that they will only allow for short-term debt limit extensions until a satisfactory debt reduction package is agreed to.  

Rather than negotiate a comprehensive agreement on taxes and entitlements, the emerging expectation is that any agreement will include some substantial spending cuts along with some form of budget controls to reduce future deficits. Battles over the larger tax and entitlement issues will be tabled until a later date, possibly after the 2012 elections. Republicans last week essentially admitted that as part of the debt limit talks they won’t be able to win the major changes to Medicare that they support, but they have vowed to continue fighting for their plan over the long run. The major battles in the current talks will be over the level and scope of immediate spending cuts, and the structure and enforcement mechanism for any statutory caps on spending or debt. Republicans support spending caps that would be enforced by automatic cuts in spending, while Democrats and the White House favor a cap on the level of debt held by the public that would be enforced by both automatic spending cuts and reductions in tax expenditures along with other tax breaks.

Congress Back to Work this Week

Congress returns from its two-week recess this week, looking ahead at the need to raise the nation’s statutory debt limit within the next two months and associated efforts to cut federal spending or establish new budgetary controls. Lawmakers have about two months to increase the debt limit, according to the Treasury Department. Although leaders of both parties have said the debt ceiling must be raised and that some mechanism is needed to limit future deficits, there is no consensus on any of the crucial details. Two sets of bipartisan talks are under way or soon to begin, but it remains unclear what kind of deficit reduction plan can satisfy both liberal lawmakers concerned about maintaining costly government services and conservatives who demand spending reductions and prefer to rule out revenue increases. Various ideas to restrict spending, limit debt levels or increase revenue have been floated. Among the ideas on the table are a constitutional amendment requiring a balanced budget; caps on spending or deficits; specific spending cuts; and tax increases.

While the debt limit dominates the political discussion in Washington, there are other issues that Republican and Democratic leaders want to pursue on the House and Senate floors. The House will turn its attention this week to proposals to increase domestic oil and gas production and will consider curbs on the executive branch’s regulatory powers under the health care overhaul signed into law last year. The Senate’s agenda could include wrapping up work on a small-business research bill, although that measure may be shelved as a result of disputes over amendments unrelated to the bill’s provisions. The Senate may also try to vote on ending some tax breaks for oil and gas companies and the confirmation of outstanding judicial nominees.

While seeking a way forward on the debt limit and deficit reduction, lawmakers may also be jousting over the related issue of the FY12 budget resolution. In the next few weeks, the Senate Democrats will likely bring up a pair of “test votes” on Republican and Democratic budget proposals. The first may be the GOP budget resolution adopted by the House just before the recess. Democrats oppose the measure because it proposes to reduce future debt and deficits by deep spending cuts alone, including by turning Medicaid into a block grant to states and transforming Medicare into more of a voucher program where subsidies are provided to buy private insurance. The Senate Republicans will try to force a vote on the President’s FY12 budget request to demonstrate that there is little support for the President’s funding priorities – even within his own party. The test votes would be similar to the ones held earlier this year to show that neither GOP nor Democratic spending plans for fiscal 2011 had sufficient support to pass, which helped prompt further efforts to find some middle ground.

Meanwhile, the Senate has yet to put forward their own version of the FY12 budget resolution, which would set the stage for Senate Appropriators to begin drafting their spending bills.

FY11 Finally Complete

The Senate easily cleared the FY11 spending agreement (HR 1473) late yesterday afternoon after the House passed it by a comfortable margin.  The president is expected to sign the bill sometime today before the current continuing resolution (CR) expires tonight at midnight. The bill passed in the House 260-167, with 179 Republicans being joined by 81 Democrats in voting “yea.” A total of 108 Democrats opposed the measure. In the Senate, the final vote was 81-19, with 15 Republicans, three Democrats, and Vermont independent Bernard Sanders voting against the bill. The measure cuts nearly $40 billion in spending compared with FY10 enacted levels.

All members of the Washington State Congressional Delegation voted to support the bill except for Congressman McDermott, who voted “no,” and Congressman Reichert, who was not present due to a death in the family (he reports that he would have voted for the measure).

Final FY11 Action Today

NOTE:  NASA numbers have been corrected to reflect an increase in funding over FY10, not a decrease as reported on the original post.  I apologize for any inconvenience.

The FY11 continuing resolution (CR) negotiated last Friday to fund the federal government for the remainder of the fiscal year would reduce federal spending by about $38.5 billion from FY10 levels, including a 0.2 percent across-the-board (ATB) cut in domestic discretionary programs.  The measure would preserve the maximum Pell Grant award at $5,550 and make relatively modest cuts to basic research programs at most of the major federal agencies. 

The House began consideration of the package (HR 1437) today, with the expectation of final votes tomorrow.  Despite grumbling about the CR from all sides, the package is expected to pass the House tomorrow, followed later in the day by the Senate.  The President has indicated he will sign it.  The current short-term CR expires at the end of the day on Friday, April 15.

Highlights of HR 1437: 

National Institutes of Health – NIH is provided $30.7 billion in FY11, which is a $260-million (or 0.8 percent) reduction from FY10.  The additional 0.2% across-the-board cut will bring the total cut to NIH at 1% below FY10 levels.  The cuts come from a $210-million pro  rata reduction of all Institutes/Centers and Office of the Director and an additional $50-million decrease from the intramural buildings and facilities account.  There are no policy references to the Cures Acceleration Network nor to the statutory mandates governing grant numbers or grant size that were included in HR 1 (House Republicans first attempt on an FY11 CR).   

National Science Foundation – The CR cuts NSF overall by $52 million, or 0.8 percent, from FY2010 levels.  Again, the total cut is at 1% below FY10 levels when the 0.2% across-the-board cut is applied.  As compared to FY10, the Research and Related Activities Account is cut by $42 million for a total of $5.6 billion, and the Education and Human Resources account is cut by $10 million to $862 million.   

Department of Energy – The DOE Office of Science receives $4.884 billion, which is $20 million below FY10.  With the reduction of the $76 million in earmarks in FY10, this actually increases the Office of Science by $56 million.  The Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E), will receive $180 million (no funds were appropriated in FY10 for ARPA-E).  Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) programs receive $1.835 billion, which is $408 million below FY10, and includes a rescission of $292 million in earmarks.  The actual reduction to this program is only $116 million compared with FY10 due to the earmark rescission.  

Department of Defense – DOD 6.1 basic research would be funded largely at the Pentagon’s FY11 request level.  For FY11, overall 6.1 basic research would be funded at approximately $1.95 billion, which is about a $130 million or seven-percent increase over FY10.  The following is a breakout of 6.1 accounts by service:   

  • Army 6.1 basic research accounts would be funded at $403.3 million, $3.6 million below the FY11 request and $16.9 million below FY10.
  • Navy 6.1 basic research accounts would be funded at $556.4 million, the same as the FY11 request and $12.5 million above FY10.
  • Air Force 6.1 basic research accounts would be funded at $500.5 million, the same as the FY11 request, but $18.4 million below FY10.
  • Defense Wide 6.1 basic research accounts would be funded at $486.9 million, $48.1 million below the FY11 request, but $109.8 million above FY10.

For Defense-Wide 6.1 basic research, two accounts were not funded at the levels requested by the Pentagon.  Defense Research Services would receive $295.7 million, which is $32.5 million less that the request, but about $100 million above the FY10 funding level of $194 million.  The National Defense Education Program would receive $94.3 million, which is $15.6 million below the request, but $19 million above FY10.   

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency – The CR provides NOAA with $4.6 billion, which is $947 million below the FY11 requested level. This level requires administrative and overhead reductions and does not provide NOAA the funding increase requested for the Joint Polar Satellite System. The CR cuts NOAA Operations, Research, and Facilities by $119 million compared to FY2010 levels. It also prohibits funding for the establishment of a Climate Service at NOAA.   

United States Geological Survey – The USGS overall is cut by $26 million compared to FY2010 levels.   

Student Financial Aid and Higher Education – The maximum Pell Grant award is maintained at $5,550 for the current year and $23.0 billion is appropriated for the program.  Additional mandatory funds for the Pell Grant program are included for this current and future years but the “Year-Round” Pell Program would be eliminated effective July 1, 2011. 

The CR would eliminate the Leveraging Educational Assistance Program (LEAP) and would fund the Javits Graduate Fellowship Program at $8.1 million.  Other sources have reported that Supplemental Education Opportunity Grants (SEOG), TRIO, and GEAR UP would see reductions of $20 million, $25 million, and $20 million, respectively.   

A different source is reporting that Title VI and Fulbright-Hays (International Education and Foreign Language Studies) programs will be cut by $50 million.  The same source is reporting that the Foreign Language Assistance Program (FLAP) is funded at the current level of $26.9 million.   

NASA – Science would receive $4.945 billion in FY11, an increase of $448 million (10 percent) from the FY10 level of $4.497 billion.  Aeronautics would receive $535 million, an increase of $38 million (8 percent) above the FY10 level of $497 million.  Education programs at NASA would be funded at $145 million, $35 million (19 percent) below the FY10 level of $180.1 million.  The CR includes no funding for NASA’s Space Technology program.

National Institutes of Standards and Technology – Overall, NIST would be funded at $752 million, which is $55 million above H.R. 1 but $167 million below the FY 2011 requested level.  Specifically, the CR cuts the Technology Innovation Program (TIP) by $25 million compared to FY2010 levels, funding the program at $44 million, while funding the Manufacturing Extension Partnership Program at $128.7 million, which is slightly above FY2010 levels. The Construction of Research Facilities money appropriated to NIST is prohibited from being applied to the Competitive Construction program.

USAID – The Collaborative Research Support Programs (CRSPs) are level-funded at $31.5 million and the Africa-US higher education partnerships program is level-funded at $15 million.   Significantly, the bill changes any “shall” to “should” in the Development Assistance section which, may impact how USAID interprets the bill language for these two programs.    

National Endowment for the Humanities – The NEH budget would be cut by $12.5 million from current funding of $167.5 million. This would preliminarily reduce funding for the Endowment to $155 million, the same level appropriated to the agency in FY09.  Adding in the 0.2 percent ATB cut results in a final funding level of $154.7 million.

Department of Homeland Security – The CR cuts DHS’s Science and Technology programs by $175 million compared to FY2010 levels; however, it includes a provision which specifically states, “funding for university programs shall not be reduced by more than twenty percent from the fiscal year 2010 level.”

Environmental Protection Agency – The EPA is reduced by $1.6 billion, a 16-percent decrease from FY10 levels. EPA climate change funding bill-wide is cut by $49 million, or 13 percent.

Department of Housing and Urban Development – The CR provides $100 million for the HUD Sustainable Communities initiative, which is $50 million below the FY 2010 enacted level. While the formula fund for the Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) programs remains the same, the CR eliminates funding for the Economic Development Initiative (EDI) and the Neighborhood Initiative (NI) grants as well as support for the University Communities Fund.

Economic Development Administration – The CR provides $284 million for the Economic Development Administration (EDA). EDA’s grant program is funded at $246 million, which is $11million more than FY2010 and the same as the FY2011 request. 

Department of Agriculture – The bill funds the Agriculture and Food Research Initiative (AFRI) at $264.5 million, an increase of $2 million over FY 2010.

Final FY11 Details Emerge

UPDATE:  There is a lot of confusion on Capitol Hill today as we all try to determine actual cuts proposed in the FY11 continuing resolution (CR).  A list distributed by the House earlier today identified numerous programs for cuts but those programs ARE NOT identified in the actual legislation — so the House list is not accurate.  The Office of Federal Relations is working diligently to determine the actual cuts and impacts to UW.  In the meantime, please let me know if you are hearing about cuts to programs important to UW so that we can track down factual information.

The details of the FY11 spending bill were released early this morning, and in most cases, the targeted accounts are cut below FY10 levels.  The final measure provides $1.049 trillion in spending for FY11, a reduction of $39.9 billion from enacted FY10 levels.  About $12 billion of the cuts have already been enacted through the three most recent GOP-initiated CR extensions.  In addition to these cuts, each agency is directed to identify another 0.2% across the board cut to non-defense accounts.  Those reductions will be left to the agencies to determine.  The House is expected to vote on this bill on Thursday and the Senate will follow late Thursday night – before the current CR expires.

Here is a quick rundown of some of the programs we are tracking:

  • NSF is cut $53 million from FY10 (Research -$43 million, Education -$10 million)
  • NASA is cut $175 million from FY10 (Education -$38 million, Cross Agency Support $83 million, Construction/Environ Compliance -$54 million)
  • DOE Office of Science is cut $35 million
  • DOE EERE is cut $438 million
  • NEH is cut $13 million
  • NIH is cut only 0.8 percent reduction below the FY10 level, with the largest targeted cut ($50 million) coming  from Building and Facilities
  • SEOG is cut $20 million
  • TRIO is cut $25 million
  • GEAR UP is cut $20 million
  • FIPSE is cut $140 million
  • Int’l Ed and Foreign Language is cut $50 million

The bill also includes a full, detailed Defense spending bill funded at $5 billion more than FY10.   Spending cuts among the other agencies vary, with Homeland Security on the low end seeing a 2 percent cut in funding, and with Transportation-HUD being cut by 18 percent and Agriculture by 13 percent.  The bill preserves funding for AmeriCorps, the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, and job training state grants for Adults, Youth and Dislocated Workers — all of which would have been zeroed by Republicans.  It restores funding for the FDA so the agency can begin implementing the recently enacted Food Safety Modernization Act, and provides funding increases (although not as much as requested) for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission to begin carrying out their new duties under the financial system modernization law.  Republicans had proposed cutting funding for each of those agencies. The bill includes $18.5 billion for NASA and fully funds the newly authorized exploration program, but prohibits NOAA from establishing a Climate Service. 

Read more about the programs targeted for cuts.