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What We’re Reading This Week, October 5-9

Here’s a selection or articles the Federal Relations team is reading this week.

Meet the New Guy – John B. King Jr., Obama’s pick to lead the Dept. of Ed through final year of the Administration, is not well known in higher-education circles. Like his predecessor, Arne Duncan, King is most famous (or infamous, depending on whom you’re talking to) for his efforts to remake elementary and secondary education. Read more at the Chronicle of Higher Education or take a look at Politico.

Toward Los Angeles, California ( Lange, D. LOC)

Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing? – Several for-profit colleges have recently restructured as nonprofit entities. But a new report argues that some of them now act like “covert for-profits” and that their backers profit in ways that are not standard at traditional universities. Read more at the Chronicle of Higher Education. 

Loan Game Plan – Fall semester is well underway for America’s 13 million full-time college students, many using federal grants and loans to pay for tuition, room and board, and other costs of school. Read more at Politico. 

To the Mattresses – Key players in the US alcohol industry are coalescing behind tax reform legislation that could end a long-running dispute between beer industry titans such as Miller and Budweiser and rising craft brewers like Dogfish Head and DC Brau.The Craft Beverage Modernization and Tax Reform Act has a little something in it for the wine, alcoholic cider and distilled spirits industries, but its creation was driven primarily by a prolonged battle between two beer trade groups. Read more at The Hill. Also, find out what beer is made closest to you (or where beer is made around the country) with this handy map, at the Washington Post.

GOP PPA Headache – The House of Representatives plans to defund Planned Parenthood and force votes are causing major headaches for moderate Senators in Democratically-leaning or toss-up states. Read more at The Hill.

Gallup Gives Up – The gold standard in political polling for the last several decades (since 1936 predicting Roosevelt’s first win) isn’t planning any polls for the presidential primary horse race this cycle. Moreover, Gallup will not commit to tracking and polling the general election last year because of how badly its polling went during the last presidential election cycle (where it predicted a Romney win). Even following an internal probe into what went wrong in 2012, Gallup will not commit to tracking the general election.  In 2012, many national polls underestimated President Obama’s standing leading up to election, but Gallup’s failure was especially visible because the Obama campaign had pushed back publicly against Gallup’s surveys…several times. Gallup’s final survey showed Romney leading Obama by 1 point — 4.9 points off from the final result, in which Obama prevailed by 3.9 points. It also misidentified the winner. That led to a lengthy and expensive effort by Gallup to retool its methodology, something Gallup still is not confident about apparently. Read more at Politico.

Whoops – A new study funded by an anti-vaccination group, Safeminds, has found that there is no link that vaccinations cause autism. Hurray for public health, sucky for the anti-vaxx cause. Read more at IFLScience. Also, the Supreme Court has decided it will not hear a challenge to New York’s law requiring all students to be vaccinated before starting school (and all kids have to go to school!) or be barred from attending school when there is an outbreak of a contagious communicable disease that is preventable from vaccination. The challenge was brought that the requirement violated religious freedom. In effect the court has held, the state has a reasonable interest in protecting public health that is greater that protecting an individuals religious freedom. Read more at the New York Times. 

The Prospect of Joe – The Draft Biden movement continues to escalate and the super PAC will go to the airwaves this week. Even though Biden has not declared, is not raising money, and has weak polling, the potential of a Biden challenge is something the Clinton camp is taking very seriously. Read more at the New York Times. 

Excellent Loss – Harvard’s champion debate team lost to a group of prison inmates in the Bard Prison Initiative. What’s more the inmates had to defend the position that public schools should be able to deny enrollment to undocumented students, a topic position they strongly disagreed with. Read more at the Wall Street Journal.

How quickly we forget mass shootings via The Washington Post. 

 

House GOP Elections Pushed Back

In a move that could spell trouble for current leadership looking to rise in office, current Speaker John Boehner has postponed the House GOP leadership elections from this Thursday, October 8th, until October 29th. The nominees for the Speaker’s positions will be declared on the 8th, but now, the actual election will be held weeks later.

Much of the reason for the oath postponement is due to House Republican’s contention that other GOP leadership spots cannot be filled until a Speaker is officially selected. The full House of Representatives votes on the Speaker, and the request seems to question whether Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy, and current front runner, can gain enough votes to secure Speaker. Over the weekend, Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT) announced his intention to run and lost no time airing grievances at McCarthy’s leadership.

Meanwhile, the move will allow the new Speaker to set any subsequent leadership elections if such elections are necessary (if McCarthy moves up and vacates the Majority Leader post).

Also, supporters of Reps Steve Scalise (R-LA) and Tom Price (R-GA), who have both announced their intentions to run for Majority Leader should McCarthy win Speaker, are concerned that the additional time will allow a “true conservative” to enter the fray for Majority Leader.

Read more about the leadership elections at Roll Call. 

Read more on Chaffetz’s run against McCarthy at Politico.

 

Arne Duncan to Step Down in December

Secretary of Education Arne Duncan has announced that he will step down at the end of December. He was one the last remaining original cabinet appointees and will have served six years.

His family recently returned to Chicago, where Duncan ran public schools for several years before his appointment as Secretary of Education. During his tenure, Duncan repeatedly clashed with teachers unions, parents, and Congress through initiatives like Common Core and support of charter schools.

Former New York state commissioner John King, a deputy secretary at the agency for the last few months, will take his place.

New Debt Limit Deadline: November 5th

Congress will need to address the debt limit by November 5th or risk a default on the nation’s debt. The deadline is the first the Obama administration has set for raising the $18.1 trillion debt limit, and comes in somewhat earlier than what most experts had predicted. The federal government reached its borrowing limit in March and has since been deploying “extraordinary measures” to free up room beneath that limit.

That new deadline has major implications for House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), likely the next Speaker of the House (elections will take place October 8th to replace current Speaker John Boehner, who is retiring at the end of October). Congress will need to figure out how to increase the nation’s borrowing limit, prevent a government shutdown, and keep money flowing to highway projects – all in a 30 to 60 day period. And all three will fall on a House Republican Conference in flux, with a new speaker, majority leader, and majority whip expected to be elected next week but not take over until November.

The administration has repeatedly said it will not negotiate raising the debt limit, but congressional Republicans in the past have pressed for spending cuts in exchange for raising the debt ceiling. Prior to the deadline, there had been talk of tying the debt limit to budget talks. But the month-long gap between the debt-limit deadline (November 5th) and expiration of government funding (December 11th) complicates matters.

What We’re Reading This Week, September 28-October 2

Here’s a selection or articles the Federal Relations Team is reading this week.

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Lincoln (National Archives)

Whither Pell? – A new report released Thursday provides a detailed look at the graduation rates of low-income college students. At many colleges, low-income students graduate at much lower rates than their high-income peers. Read more at The Atlantic. 

Chill in the Pacific – China and the US have not have the warmest relationship and President Xi’s recent visit to the country did not seem to warm the relationship. While focus on constructively engaging China has been a priority for decades, this attitude seems to be shifting to an attitude of competition. Read more at Politico. 

Killed It Dead? – In his five years as Speaker, Boehner endured an adversarial President, Senate and internal party. Has the Speakership been irrevocably marginalized in an era of intense partisan factionalism? Or is Boehner’s resignation a weathervane for something else—a GOP establishment? Read more at Politico.  

Little Loan, Big Issue – Community colleges are relatively affordable, and their students tend to borrow less than those who attend other types of institutions. Yet the debt students rack up at community colleges is troubling. The reason is that students who attend two-year colleges struggle to repay even small loans, and often default on them, a concern that is reinforced by a new study from one of the sector’s primary trade groups — the Association of Community College Trustees. Read more at Inside Higher Education. 

Default Rates Going Down – The share of federal student loan borrowers who default on their debt within three years of entering repayment dropped for the second year in a row, the U.S. Department of Education announced Wednesday. The national default rate on student loans made by the government fell to 11.8 percent from 13.7 percent last year, the department said. Obama administration officials credited their success in getting more borrowers to sign up for income-based repayment plans for some of the decline in defaults. Read more at Inside Higher Education. 

Five on the Horizon – The Supreme Court convenes its new session on Monday, October 5th. While court has already agreed to hear 34 cases, the docket is not yet totally set. There are five big cases on the horizon with sweeping implications on race and college admissions, the criminal justice system, public sector unions and, many experts expect, another rendezvous with ObamaCare. Read more at The Hill.

Bankruptcy – The Administration is calling on Congress to make it easier for some student loan borrowers to erase their debt through bankruptcy, as part of a package of proposals aimed at helping Americans who are struggling with loan payments. In a report released Thursday by the U.S. Department of Education, administration officials outlined a range of recommendations for improving the nation’s student loan system, most of which require congressional action. Read more at Inside Higher Education. 

College Athletic$ – A court just affirmed that the NCAA may restrict colleges from compensating athletes beyond the cost of attendance. A three-judge panel of the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit ruled Wednesday in an apparent victory for the college sports establishment as it fights efforts to expand athletes’ rights. Read more at the New York Times. 

Gore – The Smithsonian closed its popular dinosaur hall at the Natural History Museum several years ago for a total makeover. Today, the Smithsonian revealed the new central exhibit to the hall, which is of a T-Rex killing a triceratops. It looks pretty badass. Check it out if your in DC in 2019. See more at the Smithsonian Magazine and the Washington Post.

There’s water on Mars!