Planning & Budgeting

Revenue Forecast


June 28, 2022

June Revenue Forecast Increased by $1.5 billion for the Current Biennium, but Cautions that Growth is Slowing

Overview The Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC) released its June revenue forecast on June 22, 2022. We noted in our previous blog post that the February revenue forecast showed continued economic growth, despite several challenges posed by emerging COVID-19 variants, supply chain disruptions, and rising inflation. COVID-19 case rates in Washington have since declined and remained…


February 17, 2022

February Revenue Forecast Reflects Sustained Growth as Legislature Finalizes their Supplemental Budget Proposals

The Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC) released its February revenue forecast on February 16, 2022. We noted in our previous blog post that the November revenue forecast showed continued economic growth, despite rising COVID-19 cases, supply chain disruptions, and rising inflation. In Washington state, the COVID-19 case rates are now steadily declining from the recent surge…


December 1, 2021

November Revenue Forecast Shows “Stronger than Expected” Revenue Collections Despite Continued Challenges

Overview The Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC) released its November revenue forecast on November 19. We noted in our previous blog post that the September revenue forecast showed continued economic growth in the face of rising COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations. In Washington state, the COVID-19 case rate is down from the recent peak in…


September 29, 2021

September Revenue Forecast Shows Overall Continued Economic Growth

Overview The Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC) released their September revenue forecast on September 24. The last revenue forecast, released in June, showed promising signs of a full economic recovery. At that time, the number of COVID-19 cases in Washington state was declining. However, as noted in our previous blog post, risks remained and…


June 24, 2021

June Revenue Forecast Shows Strong and Growing State Economy

Overview The June revenue forecast again builds on the promising economic recovery we have seen in recent months. As a reminder, the June 2020 Revenue Forecast, released by the Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC), forecasted a precipitous economic decline as a result of the full shutdown in spring and early summer. While the September Revenue Forecast…


March 17, 2021

March Revenue Forecast Shows Strong Economic Recovery

The COVID-19 pandemic drastically changed the economic outlook in Washington state. The June 2020 Revenue Forecast, released by the Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC), forecasted a precipitous economic decline as a result of the full shutdown in spring and early summer. While the September Revenue Forecast and the November Revenue Forecast demonstrated significant recovery from June…


November 20, 2020

November Revenue Forecast Shows Continued, but Cautious, Growth

The COVID-19 pandemic has drastically changed the economic outlook in Washington state. The June Revenue Forecast, released by the Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC), forecasted a precipitous economic decline as a result of the full shutdown in spring and early summer. Fortunately, the September Revenue Forecast and the November Revenue Forecast, released Wednesday, have shown a…


September 24, 2020

September Revenue Forecast Shows Promising Recovery

The COVID-19 pandemic has drastically changed the economic outlook in Washington state. Fortunately, September Revenue Forecast, released yesterday by the Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC), details modest growth. This stands in stark contrast to the June Revenue Forecast, which forecasted a precipitous economic decline as a result of the full shutdown throughout spring and…


June 23, 2020

June Forecast Outlines Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on State Revenue

The COVID-19 pandemic has drastically changed the economic outlook in Washington state. The projections detailed below demonstrate the sharp decline that the state economy has suffered in recent months, which stands in sharp contrast to the long period of growth that preceded it. In order to account for the losses discussed in the forecast below,…


May 6, 2020

Economic and Revenue Forecast Council Releases April Budget Outlook

On Thursday, April 30, the Economic and Revenue Forecast Council met to review and approve the April 2020 budget outlook. The budget outlook used the February revenue forecast and contained no major changes to revenues or appropriations for the 2019-21 biennium. During their meeting, the Council acknowledged that there will likely be changes to the…



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